Turkish banks in May: Assets up, profits down

Corrects the compared period of May 2014 profit decrease in the first paragraph.

Turkish banks in May: Assets up, profits down
Turkish banking sector's assets increased by 3.6 percent in May compared to the end of 2013 despite posting a drop of 11.5 percent in profit from May 2013, Turkey's official banking regulation agency announced Monday.

According to the temporary figures released by the Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, BDDK, the size of assets reached 1.794 trillion Turkish liras ($840 billion) as of May 2014. The agency said the net term profit of the banking sector decreased by 11.5 percent compared to May 2013 and reached 10.10 billion Turkish liras in May this year.

The authority noted that credits, which comprise the largest share of the banking sector, reached 1,092 billion Turkish liras in May.

In January, the Central Bank of Turkey introduced drastic interest rate hikes and the BDDK imposed new measures to restrict private consumption and ease the current account deficit.

The Turkish lira tumbled to almost 2.4 to the dollar and 3.23 to the euro in the first month of the year and this plunge was widely seen endangering the Turkish economy, which is heavily dependent on dollar and euro pegged transactions and loans for the country’s everyday business.

"Turkish banks will face a tough year of weakening asset quality, tighter margins and lower growth (…) against a background of higher rates, a weaker currency, a slower economy and political uncertainty," Fitch Ratings said in its latest regular emerging market banking system data watch published in April.

The ratings agency also said it expected most Turkish banks to absorb moderate stress and any downward pressure on their ratings should be limited despite “a weaker currency, a slower economy and political uncertainty”.

In June, another International credit rating agency, Moody’s, made rating revisions on 11 Turkish banks citing pressures on the standalone credit strength of some of the institutions, a slowdown in real GDP growth and a climate of uncertainty affecting the banks.

Moody's expects that Turkish banks' asset quality and profitability will weaken and that liquidity will tighten.

"Additionally, the banks will increasingly need to adapt to a capital-optimizing lending model, against the background of moderate GDP growth and persistently high funding costs, coupled with the weakening capital adequacy, as credit growth outpaces internal capital generation. The highly unseasoned loan books add further elements of credit risk," the ratings agency said.

Moody's also forecasts that the future growth of the banking system will increasingly depend on market funding, which increases banks' sensitivity to investor sentiment and wholesale market dynamics.

The agency noted a reduced expectation of the level of systemic support, which it believes should be incorporated in Turkish banks' deposit and senior debt ratings.

"This view takes into account the fact that the banking system and its financial obligations have grown significantly in relation to GDP in recent years, and will continue to do so, increasing the potential cost of any government support, in case of need. The charged domestic political environment and less predictable policy responses add additional elements of uncertainty," Moody's said.

The net profits for Turkey's banking sector were up by 5.1 percent for 2013 compared to the previous year.
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