Türkiye counted down for the elections to be held on May 14, and 2 days before going to the polls, activity in the political arena increased. Continuing their preparations for May 14, 2023, which is predicted to be one of the most important days in the history of the country, the parties have completed their alliance work. While the AK Party and President Erdogan are making plans to come to power once again with the People's Alliance, the opposition is preparing to enter the elections very strongly with the Nation Alliance. All eyes are on the polls. While the latest situation is followed with curiosity in the 2023 election polls, it seems that undecided voters will have a critical importance in determining the future of the country on 14 May.
Shortly before May 14, polls are keeping the pulse of the election. Research companies such as SONAR, GENAR, ORC, Asal, EUROPOLL, Aksoy, Ada, Saros, Compass, MAK, Bulgu, ArtıBir, Türkiye Report, ALF, Yoyelem, AR-G and PIAR reveal the vote rates of parties and candidates. So what are the voting rates in the survey companies? How many votes do Erdogan and Kilicdarogu have? How are the 2023 election poll results? Here are the latest statuses of the 2023 surveys...
Türkiye Gazetesi Election Polls 2023 page continues to present the current election poll results. The vote rates of all parties that will take part in the elections, the vote rates of the alliances and the vote rates of the presidential candidates are shared one by one with graphics. The results of the survey companies are reflected on the charts from 2022 to April on the basis of candidates, alliances and parties.
According to the results of the survey conducted in April, People's Alliance Candidate Recep Tayyip Erdogan received 46.68 percent of the vote, while Kemal Kilicdaroglu received around 45.63 percent. While Muharrem İnce, the candidate of the Memleket Party, is in the band of 6.51 percent, Sinan Ogan, the candidate of the ATA Alliance, has 5.46 percent of the vote.
In April, the People's Alliance has an average of 45.75 percent and the Nation Alliance has an average of 37.49 percent. The Labor and Freedom Alliance rose to 7.26 percent, while the Ancestor Alliance remained around 0.94 percent. In March, these rates were as follows: People's Alliance 40.16 percent, Nation Alliance 42.4 percent, Labor and Freedom Alliance 1.06%, Ata Alliance 1.2 percent.
When the vote rates of the two months are analyzed, it is seen that the People's Alliance started to rise in April, while the Nation Alliance fell.
The average vote rates of the parties in April are as follows:
AK Party: 36.9%
IYI Party: 9.6%
The votes of the Green Left reflected in the table, as it became clear in the latest polls that HDP announced that they will support the Nation Alliance candidate.
The last announced survey came from ORC Research. In the survey conducted between 19-22 April, "Which candidate would you vote for if there was an election this Sunday?" According to the answers given to the question, the voting rates are as follows:
Kemal Kilicdaroglu: 49.3%
Recep Tayyip Erdogan: 42.4%
Muharrem İnce: 6.1%
Sinan Ogan: 2.2%
"Which party would you vote for if there was an election this Sunday?" The following parties were listed in the answers given to the question:
AK Party: 32.8%
IYI Party: 15.1%
Kilicdaroglu was ahead with 48.9 percent of the vote in the poll conducted by the ORC Research between 7-11 April. In the poll, Erdoğan received 41.5 percent, Muharrem İnce 7.2 percent, and Sinan Ogan 2.4 percent.
Areda Survey asked respondents, "Which of the following candidates would you vote for in the Presidential election this Sunday?" As a result of the survey, it was seen that President Erdogan received the highest number of votes among the candidates in the first round.
President Erdogan won the election with 51.4 percent in the first round, while his closest rival Kemal Kilicdaroglu had 41.8 percent of the vote. Muharrem İnce took the third place with 4.6 percent, while Sinan Ogan was left with 2.2 percent of the votes.
Although Erdogan seems to win in the first round of the presidential elections in the poll, the possible second round question was also answered in the poll. If the presidential race goes to the 2nd round, Erdogan has 53.5 percent of the vote. Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu was observed as 46.5 percent.
SONAR Research interviewed face-to-face with 4,541 people selected randomly according to age, gender, province and district quotas in 25 provinces, 89 districts and villages between 10-16 April. According to the research results, President Erdogan and the AK Party are ahead by a wide margin. When the votes of those who said 'undecided' and 'I will not vote' in the poll conducted on the basis of the party were distributed proportionally to the parties, the following results were obtained:
AK Party: 38.2%
IYI Party: 13.4%
Hometown Party: 4.1%
In the poll conducted on the presidential candidates, when the undecided votes were distributed, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's vote rate was 46.1 percent and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu's vote rate was 44.1 percent. While Muharrem Ince remains at 7.7 percent, Sinan Ogan has 2.1 percent of the vote.
According to the results of the survey conducted between 16-19 April, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the AK Party are in the lead by far. The first question to the citizens participating in the research is "Who will win the Presidential elections?" While the citizens stated that Erdogan will win with 54 percent, the rate of those who think that Kemal Kilicdaroglu can win the election was measured as 41.8 percent. In the poll, Muharrem İnce received 3.1 percent and Sinan Ogan received 1.1 percent of the vote.
On a party basis, the CHP received 26.2 percent of the vote in the poll, where the AK Party received 39.1 percent of the vote. The HDP received 10.60 percent of the vote, while the IYI Party remained at 7.40 percent. The vote rate of MHP, partner of the People's Alliance, remained at 7.3 percent.
Looking at the alliances, the People's Alliance received 48.00 percent of the vote, while the Nation Alliance remained at 33.60 percent.
In the April poll of Aksoy Research, which is known for its closeness to the CHP, it was noteworthy that the AK Party was 31.1 percent. The voting rates of the parties are as follows:
AK Party: 31.1%
IYI Party: 11.4%
In the presidential race, Kilicdaroglu gets 47.9 percent, Erdogan 38.4 percent, Ince 9 percent and Ogan 4.8 percent in the first round. In the second round, Kilicdaroglu gets 57.4 percent of the vote.
According to the data of the survey conducted by Metropoll between 1-3 April, Kilicdaroglu seems to be ahead in the presidential race. The distribution of votes for the candidates is as follows:
Kemal Kilicdaroglu: 42.6%
Recep Tayyip Erdogan: 41.1%
Muharrem Ince: 5%
Sinan Ogan: 2,4%
In the April poll of Metropoll Research, the People's Alliance was ahead by a wide margin with 45.90 percent, while the Nation Alliance remained at 36.10 percent. The breakdown by party is as follows:
AK Party: 40.1%
IYI Party: 9.6%
Country Party: 2.7%
DEVA Party: 0.8%
Victory Party: 0.7%
Felicity Party: 0.6%
Future Party: 0.5%
Optimar Research company asked 4,745 participants in 77 provinces to whom they would vote in the Presidential elections between April 1-7. The results of the 1st round of the survey conducted by face-to-face and telephone interviews are as follows:
Recep Tayyip Erdogan: 45.9%
Kemal Kilicdaroglu: 43.9%
Muharrem Ince: 8.3%
Sinan Ogan: 1.9%
In case the selection goes to the 2nd round;
Recep Tayyip Erdogan: 51.1%
Kemal Kilicdaroglu: 48.9%